Geopolitical risks and recessions in a panel of advanced economies: evidence from over a century of data
This paper uses a panel of 17 advanced countries over the annual period of 1899–2013, to analyze for the first time, the role played by geopolitical risks in predicting recessions. After controlling for other standard predictors based on a logit model, we find that while aggregate geopolitical risks...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Routledge
2019
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | View Fulltext in Publisher |