What should be the baseline when calculating excess mortality? New approaches suggest that we have underestimated the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and previous winter peaks

What should be the baseline when calculating excess mortality? New approaches suggest that we have underestimated the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and previous winter peaks

Excess mortality has been used to measure the impact of COVID-19 over time and across countries. But what baseline should be chosen? We propose two novel approaches: an alternative retrospective baseline derived from the lowest weekly death rates achieved in previous years and a within-year baseline...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Alustiza-Galarza, A. (Author), Andreev, E.M (Author), Jdanov, D.A (Author), Klimkin, I. (Author), Leon, D.A (Author), McKee, M. (Author), Németh, L. (Author), Nepomuceno, M.R (Author), Shkolnikov, V.M (Author), Timonin, S.A (Author)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier Ltd 2022
Subjects:
COVID-19 pandemic
Excess mortality
Influenza epidemics
Seasonality
Short-term mortality fluctuations
Weekly time series
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