Evaluating the conditionality of judgmental forecasts
We propose a framework for evaluating the conditionality of forecasts. The crux of our framework is the observation that a forecast is conditional if revisions to the conditioning factor are incorporated faithfully into the remainder of the forecast. We consider whether the Greenbook, Blue Chip surv...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Elsevier B.V.
2019
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | View Fulltext in Publisher |