Forecasting with Global Vector Autoregressive Models: A Bayesian Approach

This paper develops a Bayesian variant of global vector autoregressive (B-GVAR) models to forecast an international set of macroeconomic and financial variables. We propose a set of hierarchical priors and compare the predictive performance of B-GVAR models in terms of point and density forecasts fo...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus, Feldkircher, Martin, Huber, Florian
Format: Others
Language:en
Published: Wiley 2016
Online Access:http://epub.wu.ac.at/4701/1/Crespo_Cuaresma_Huber_Feldkircher.pdf
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jae.2504