Effects of Overconfidence and Dependence on Aggregated Probability Judgments

碩士 === 元智大學 === 企業管理學系 === 96 === Expert’s subjective probability interval or distribution estimates can provide useful information for forecasting and decision making. However, the performance of mathematical aggregation methods for probability distribution judgments—especially whether or not these...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ssu-Wei Huang, 黃思瑋
Other Authors: 林希偉
Format: Others
Language:zh-TW
Published: 2008
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/95269243315547815102