Effects of Overconfidence and Dependence on Aggregated Probability Judgments
碩士 === 元智大學 === 企業管理學系 === 96 === Expert’s subjective probability interval or distribution estimates can provide useful information for forecasting and decision making. However, the performance of mathematical aggregation methods for probability distribution judgments—especially whether or not these...
Main Authors: | , |
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Other Authors: | |
Format: | Others |
Language: | zh-TW |
Published: |
2008
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Online Access: | http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/95269243315547815102 |