Bayesian Network Modeling and Expert Elicitation for Probabilistic Eruption Forecasting: Pilot Study for Whakaari/White Island, New Zealand

Bayesian Network Modeling and Expert Elicitation for Probabilistic Eruption Forecasting: Pilot Study for Whakaari/White Island, New Zealand

Bayesian Networks (BNs) are probabilistic graphical models that provide a robust and flexible framework for understanding complex systems. Limited case studies have demonstrated the potential of BNs in modeling multiple data streams for eruption forecasting and volcanic hazard assessment. Neverthele...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Annemarie Christophersen, Natalia I. Deligne, Anca M. Hanea, Lauriane Chardot, Nicolas Fournier, Willy P. Aspinall
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2018-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Earth Science
Subjects:
Bayesian networks
structured expert judgment
volcano monitoring
eruption forecasting
White Island
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/feart.2018.00211/full

Internet

https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/feart.2018.00211/full

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