Forecasting characteristic earthquakes in a minimalist model

Using error diagrams, we quantify the forecasting of characteristic-earthquake occurrence in a recently introduced minimalist model. Initially we connect the earthquake alarm at a fixed time after the ocurrence of a characteristic event. The evaluation of this strategy leads to a one-dimensional num...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: M. Vázquez-Prada, À. González, J. B. Gómez, A. F. Pacheco
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2003-01-01
Series:Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Online Access:http://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/10/565/2003/npg-10-565-2003.pdf