Can an ensemble give anything more than Gaussian probabilities?
Can a relatively small numerical weather prediction ensemble produce any more forecast information than can be reproduced by a Gaussian probability density function (PDF)? This question is examined using site-specific probability forecasts from the UK Met Office. These forecasts are based on the...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Copernicus Publications
2003-01-01
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Series: | Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics |
Online Access: | http://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/10/469/2003/npg-10-469-2003.pdf |