COMPLEXITY AND UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECASTING OF COMPLEX SOCIAL SYSTEMS

The better the model, the more features of the problem it explains. However, showing that the model has similarities to that of a phenomena is often less significant in applications due to lack of data. Forecasting, as special application of modelling, is neither an exception: besides statistical da...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Peter Alacs
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Croatian Interdisciplinary Society 2004-06-01
Series:Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:http://indecs.eu/2004/indecs2004-pp88-94.pdf