Trend analysis and forecast of daily reported incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in Hubei, China by Prophet model

Abstract Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is common among children below 5 years. HFMD has a high incidence in Hubei Province, China. In this study, the Prophet model was used to forecast the incidence of HFMD in comparison with the autoregressive-integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, and HFM...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Cong Xie, Haoyu Wen, Wenwen Yang, Jing Cai, Peng Zhang, Ran Wu, Mingyan Li, Shuqiong Huang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2021-01-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-81100-2