Trend analysis and forecast of daily reported incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in Hubei, China by Prophet model
Abstract Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is common among children below 5 years. HFMD has a high incidence in Hubei Province, China. In this study, the Prophet model was used to forecast the incidence of HFMD in comparison with the autoregressive-integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, and HFM...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Nature Publishing Group
2021-01-01
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Series: | Scientific Reports |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-81100-2 |