1,000,000 cases of COVID-19 outside of China: The date predicted by a simple heuristic
We forecast 1,000,000 COVID-19 cases outside of China by March 31st, 2020 based on a heuristic and WHO situation reports. We do not model the COVID-19 pandemic; we model only the number of cases.The proposed heuristic is based on a simple observation that the plot of the given data is well approxima...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Elsevier
2020-11-01
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| Series: | Global Epidemiology |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590113320300079 |