On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks

Forecasting of infectious disease outbreaks can inform appropriate intervention measures, but whether fundamental limits to accurate prediction exist is unclear. Here, the authors use permutation entropy as a model independent measure of predictability to study limitations across a broad set of infe...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Samuel V. Scarpino, Giovanni Petri
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2019-02-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-08616-0