Cultivating credibility with probability words and numbers

Recent research suggests that communicating probabilities numerically rather than verbally benefits forecasters’ credibility. In two experiments, we tested the reproducibility of this communication-format effect. The effect was replicated under comparable conditions (low-probability, inaccurate fore...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Robert N. Collins, David R. Mandel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Society for Judgment and Decision Making 2019-11-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/19/190912/jdm190912.pdf