An extended Weight Kernel Density Estimation model forecasts COVID-19 onset risk and identifies spatiotemporal variations of lockdown effects in China

Wenzhong Shi et al. propose an extended Weight Kernel Density Estimation model to predict the COVID-19 onset risk, with and without the Wuhan lockdown, and corresponding symptom onset and spatial heterogeneity in 347 Chinese cities. The authors find that the lockdown delayed COVID-19 peak onset by 1...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Wenzhong Shi, Chengzhuo Tong, Anshu Zhang, Bin Wang, Zhicheng Shi, Yepeng Yao, Peng Jia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2021-01-01
Series:Communications Biology
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-021-01677-2