Improving the calibration of the best member method using quantile regression to forecast extreme temperatures

Temperature influences both the demand and supply of electricity and is therefore a potential cause of blackouts. Like any electricity provider, Electricité de France (EDF) has strong incentives to model the uncertainty in future temperatures using ensemble prediction systems (EPSs). However, the pr...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: A. Gogonel, J. Collet, A. Bar-Hen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2013-05-01
Series:Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/13/1161/2013/nhess-13-1161-2013.pdf