Apparent age and gender differences in survival optimism: To what extent are they a bias in the translation of beliefs onto a percentage scale?
A standard way to elicit expectations asks for the percentage chance an event will occur. Previous research demonstrates noise in reported percentages. The current research models a bias; a five percentage point change in reported probabilities implies a larger change in beliefs at certain points in...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Society for Judgment and Decision Making
2021-07-01
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| Series: | Judgment and Decision Making |
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| Online Access: | http://journal.sjdm.org/21/210219/jdm210219.pdf |