Uncertainty in population projections: the state of the art
In this paper I critically review the state of the art in population projections, focusing on how uncertainty is handled in three approaches: the classical cohort-component, the frequentist probabilistic model and the Bayesian paradigm. Next, I focus on recent developments on mortality, fertility an...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Associação Brasileira de Estudos Populacionais
2014-12-01
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| Series: | Revista Brasileira de Estudos de População |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-30982014000200003&lng=en&tlng=en |