The Myth of Methuselah and the Uncertainty of Death: The Mortality Fan Charts

This paper uses mortality fan charts to illustrate prospective future male mortality. These fan charts show both the most likely path of male mortality and the bands of uncertainty surrounding that path. The fan charts are based on a model of male mortality that is known to provide a good fit to UK...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Kevin Dowd, David Blake, Andrew J. G. Cairns
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2016-07-01
Series:Risks
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/4/3/21