Testing the seismic quiescence hypothesis through retrospective trials of alarm-based earthquake prediction in the Kurile–Japan subduction zone

Abstract We make trial binary forecasts for the Kurile–Japan subduction zone for the period 1988–2014 by hypothesizing that seismic quiescence (i.e., the absence of earthquakes of M ≥ 5 for a minimum period of T q) is a precursor of a large (7.5 ≤ M w < 8.5) earthquake in the coming period T a wi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Kei Katsumata, Masao Nakatani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2021-04-01
Series:Earth, Planets and Space
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-021-01418-z