Tracking [Formula: see text] of COVID-19: A new real-time estimation using the Kalman filter.

We develop a new method for estimating the effective reproduction number of an infectious disease ([Formula: see text]) and apply it to track the dynamics of COVID-19. The method is based on the fact that in the SIR model, [Formula: see text] is linearly related to the growth rate of the number of i...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Francisco Arroyo-Marioli, Francisco Bullano, Simas Kucinskas, Carlos Rondón-Moreno
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0244474