Tracking the early depleting transmission dynamics of COVID-19 with a time-varying SIR model
Abstract The susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) model offers the simplest framework to study transmission dynamics of COVID-19, however, it does not factor in its early depleting trend observed during a lockdown. We modified the SIR model to specifically simulate the early depleting transmission d...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Nature Publishing Group
2020-12-01
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Series: | Scientific Reports |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-78739-8 |