Forced versus coupled dynamics in Earth system modelling and prediction

We compare coupled nonlinear climate models and their simplified forced counterparts with respect to predictability and phase space topology. Various types of uncertainty plague climate change simulation, which is, in turn, a crucial element of Earth System modelling. Since the currently preferred s...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: B. Knopf, H. Held, H. J. Schellnhuber
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2005-01-01
Series:Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Online Access:http://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/12/311/2005/npg-12-311-2005.pdf