Traces of business cycles in credit-rating migrations.

Using migration data of a rating agency, this paper attempts to quantify the impact of macroeconomic conditions on credit-rating migrations. The migrations are modeled as a coupled Markov chain, where the macroeconomic factors are represented by unobserved tendency variables. In the simplest case, t...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Dmitri Boreiko, Serguei Kaniovski, Yuri Kaniovski, Georg Pflug
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2017-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5398736?pdf=render