Verification against perturbed analyses and observations

It has long been known that verification of a forecast against the sequence of analyses used to produce those forecasts can under-estimate the magnitude of forecast errors. Here we show that under certain conditions the verification of a short-range forecast against a perturbed analysis coming from...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: N. E. Bowler, M. J. P. Cullen, C. Piccolo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2015-07-01
Series:Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Online Access:http://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/22/403/2015/npg-22-403-2015.pdf