A delay differential model of ENSO variability: parametric instability and the distribution of extremes

We consider a delay differential equation (DDE) model for El-Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability. The model combines two key mechanisms that participate in ENSO dynamics: delayed negative feedback and seasonal forcing. We perform stability analyses of the model in the three-dimensional spac...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: M. Ghil, I. Zaliapin, S. Thompson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2008-05-01
Series:Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Online Access:http://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/15/417/2008/npg-15-417-2008.pdf