Forecasting Inflation with the Phillips Curve: A Dynamic Model Averaging Approach for Brazil
This paper proposes a generalized Phillips curve in order to forecast Brazilian inflation over the 2003:M1–2013:M10 period. To this end, we employ the Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA) method, which allows for both model evolution and time-varying parameters. The procedure mainly consists in state-space...
Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Fundação Getúlio Vargas
2015-12-01
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Series: | Revista Brasileira de Economia |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-71402015000400451&lng=en&tlng=en |