Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 under different reopening strategies
Abstract We combine COVID-19 case data with mobility data to estimate a modified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model in the United States. In contrast to a standard SIR model, we find that the incidence of COVID-19 spread is concave in the number of infectious individuals, as would be expecte...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nature Publishing Group
2020-11-01
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| Series: | Scientific Reports |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-77292-8 |