Coherence of probability judgments from uncertain evidence: Does ACH help?
Although the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses method (ACH) is a structured analytic technique promoted in several intelligence communities for improving the quality of probabilistic hypothesis testing, it has received little empirical testing. Whereas previous evaluations have used numerical evidenc...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Society for Judgment and Decision Making
2020-11-01
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| Series: | Judgment and Decision Making |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://journal.sjdm.org/20/200430/jdm200430.pdf |