Assessing uncertainties in global cropland futures using a conditional probabilistic modelling framework

We present a modelling framework to simulate probabilistic futures of global cropland areas that are conditional on the SSP (shared socio-economic pathway) scenarios. Simulations are based on the Parsimonious Land Use Model (PLUM) linked with the global dynamic vegetation model LPJ-GUESS (Lund–Potsd...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: K. Engström, S. Olin, M. D. A. Rounsevell, S. Brogaard, D. P. van Vuuren, P. Alexander, D. Murray-Rust, A. Arneth
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2016-11-01
Series:Earth System Dynamics
Online Access:http://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/7/893/2016/esd-7-893-2016.pdf