Using cognitive models to combine probability estimates

We demonstrate the usefulness of cognitive models for combining human estimates of probabilities in two experiments. The first experiment involves people's estimates of probabilities for general knowledge questions such as ``What percentage of the world's population speaks English as a fi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Michael D. Lee, Irina Danileiko
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Society for Judgment and Decision Making 2014-05-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/13/131007a/jdm131007a.pdf