SIMULATION-BASED METHODOLOGY FOR PREDICTING FOOTBALL MATCH OUTCOMES CONSIDERING EXPERTS' OPINIONS: THE 2010 AND 2014 FOOTBALL WORLD CUP CASES

ABSTRACT In this paper we propose a simulation-based method for predicting the 2010 and 2014Football World Cup. Adopting a bayesian perspective, we modeled the number of goals of two opposing teams as a Poisson distribution whose mean is proportional to the relative technical level of opponents. FIF...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Francisco Louzada, Adriano K. Suzuki, Luis E.B. Salasar, Anderson Ara, José G. Leite
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional 2015-12-01
Series:Pesquisa Operacional
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-74382015000300577&lng=en&tlng=en