The effects of mental steps and compatibility on Bayesian reasoning

Four laboratory studies were conducted to test the hypothesis that correct Bayesian reasoning can be predicted by two factors of task complexity --- the number of mental steps required to reach the normative solution, and the compatibility between the framing of data presented and the framing of th...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Shahar Ayal, Ruth Beyth-Marom
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Society for Judgment and Decision Making 2014-05-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/12/12714/jdm12714.pdf