Predictability of extreme values in geophysical models

Extreme value theory in deterministic systems is concerned with unlikely large (or small) values of an observable evaluated along evolutions of the system. In this paper we study the finite-time predictability of extreme values, such as convection, energy, and wind speeds, in three geophysical model...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: A. E. Sterk, M. P. Holland, P. Rabassa, H. W. Broer, R. Vitolo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2012-09-01
Series:Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Online Access:http://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/19/529/2012/npg-19-529-2012.pdf