Determining the bounds of skilful forecast range for probabilistic prediction of system-wide wind power generation

State-of-the-art wind power forecasts beyond a few hours ahead rely on global numerical weather prediction models to forecast the future large-scale atmospheric state. Often they provide initial and boundary conditions for nested high resolution simulations. In this paper, both upper and lower bound...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Dirk Cannon, David Brayshaw, John Methven, Daniel Drew
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Borntraeger 2017-06-01
Series:Meteorologische Zeitschrift
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/metz/2016/0751