A Note on Forecasting the Rate of Change of the Price of Oil: Asymmetric Loss and Forecast Rationality

We study whether forecasts of the rate of change of the price of oil are rational. To this end, we consider a model that allows the shape of forecasters’ loss function to be studied. The shape of forecasters’ loss function may be consistent with a symmetric or an asymmetric loss function. We find th...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Christian Pierdzioch, Jan-Christoph Rülke
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2013-03-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/1/1/6