A Note on Forecasting the Rate of Change of the Price of Oil: Asymmetric Loss and Forecast Rationality
We study whether forecasts of the rate of change of the price of oil are rational. To this end, we consider a model that allows the shape of forecasters’ loss function to be studied. The shape of forecasters’ loss function may be consistent with a symmetric or an asymmetric loss function. We find th...
Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
MDPI AG
2013-03-01
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Series: | Economies |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/1/1/6 |