Regional probabilistic fertility forecasting by modeling between-country correlations
<b>Background</b>: The United Nations (UN) Population Division constructs probabilistic projections for the total fertility rate (TFR) using the Bayesian hierarchical model of Alkema et al. (2011), which produces predictive distributions of the TFR for individual countries. The UN is int...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
2014-04-01
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| Series: | Demographic Research |
| Online Access: | http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol30/35/ |