A cautionary note on global recalibration

We report a mathematical result that casts doubt on the possibility of recalibration of probabilities using calibration curves. We then discuss how to interpret this result in the light of behavioral research.

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Joseph B. Kadane, Baruch Fischhoff
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Society for Judgment and Decision Making 2013-01-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/12/121115a/jdm121115a.pdf