Duration of a minor epidemic
Disease outbreaks in stochastic SIR epidemic models are characterized as either minor or major. When ℛ0<1, all epidemics are minor, whereas if ℛ0>1, they can be minor or major. In 1955, Whittle derived formulas for the probability of a minor or a major epidemic. A minor epidemic is distinguish...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
2018-01-01
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| Series: | Infectious Disease Modelling |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468042717300763 |