The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010-2020 decade: A retrospective assessment.

This article revisits the prediction, made in 2010, that the 2010-2020 decade would likely be a period of growing instability in the United States and Western Europe Turchin P. 2018. This prediction was based on a computational model that quantified in the USA such structural-demographic forces for...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Peter Turchin, Andrey Korotayev
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2020-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0237458