Estimating the benefits of single value and probability forecasting for flood warning

Flood risk can be reduced by means of flood forecasting, warning and response systems (FFWRS). These systems include a forecasting sub-system which is imperfect, meaning that inherent uncertainties in hydrological forecasts may result in false alarms and missed events. This forecasting uncertainty d...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: J. S. Verkade, M. G. F. Werner
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2011-12-01
Series:Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/15/3751/2011/hess-15-3751-2011.pdf