Inflation forecasting Bayesian Vector Autoregression 1 Bayesian analysis 1 Boosting 1 Conditional forecasting 1 Informational inefficiency 1 Model selection 1 Phillips curve 1 Survey-based inflation expectations 1 Trimmed-mean estimators 1 central bank 1 economic policy 1 forecasting method 1 inflation 1 macroeconomics 1 monetary policy 1