Unusual news flow and the cross section of stock returns

We document that stocks that experience sudden increases in idiosyncratic volatility underperform otherwise similar stocks in the future, and we propose that this phenomenon can be explained by the Miller conjecture [Miller E (1977) Risk, uncertainty, and divergence of opinion. J. Finance 32(4):1151...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bali, T.G (Author), Bodnaruk, A. (Author), Scherbina, A. (Author), Tang, Y. (Author)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: INFORMS Inst.for Operations Res.and the Management Sciences 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:View Fulltext in Publisher
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008 220706s2018 CNT 000 0 und d
020 |a 00251909 (ISSN) 
245 1 0 |a Unusual news flow and the cross section of stock returns 
260 0 |b INFORMS Inst.for Operations Res.and the Management Sciences  |c 2018 
856 |z View Fulltext in Publisher  |u https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2017.2726 
520 3 |a We document that stocks that experience sudden increases in idiosyncratic volatility underperform otherwise similar stocks in the future, and we propose that this phenomenon can be explained by the Miller conjecture [Miller E (1977) Risk, uncertainty, and divergence of opinion. J. Finance 32(4):1151-1168]. We show that volatility shocks can be traced to unusual firm-level news flow, which temporarily increases the level of investor disagreement about the firm value. At the same time, volatility shocks pose a barrier to short selling, preventing pessimistic investors from expressing their views. In the presence of divergent opinions and short-selling constraints, prices initially reflect optimistic views but adjust downward in the future as investors' opinions converge. © 2017 INFORMS. 
650 0 4 |a Cross section of stock returns 
650 0 4 |a Financial markets 
650 0 4 |a Firm value 
650 0 4 |a Investments 
650 0 4 |a Market efficiency 
650 0 4 |a Short-sale constraints 
650 0 4 |a Unusual news flow 
650 0 4 |a Volatility shocks 
700 1 |a Bali, T.G.  |e author 
700 1 |a Bodnaruk, A.  |e author 
700 1 |a Scherbina, A.  |e author 
700 1 |a Tang, Y.  |e author 
773 |t Management Science