Quantifying artefacts over time: Interval estimation of a Poisson distribution using the Jeffreys prior

This paper presents a new method for estimating the amount of an artefact class in use at a given moment in the past from a random assemblage of archaeological finds. The method is based on the use of simulation, since an analytical solution is computationally impractical. Estimating the number of a...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Collins-Elliott, S.A (Author)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Blackwell Publishing Ltd 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:View Fulltext in Publisher
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008 220511s2019 CNT 000 0 und d
020 |a 0003813X (ISSN) 
245 1 0 |a Quantifying artefacts over time: Interval estimation of a Poisson distribution using the Jeffreys prior 
260 0 |b Blackwell Publishing Ltd  |c 2019 
856 |z View Fulltext in Publisher  |u https://doi.org/10.1111/arcm.12481 
520 3 |a This paper presents a new method for estimating the amount of an artefact class in use at a given moment in the past from a random assemblage of archaeological finds. The method is based on the use of simulation, since an analytical solution is computationally impractical. Estimating the number of artefacts in use at any time t is shown to follow a Poisson distribution, which allows for credible intervals to be established using the Jeffreys prior. This estimator works from minimal assumptions about the dating and duration of finds, as well as the intensity of collection, and is applied to coinage from four Roman-period sites excavated by the Roman Peasant Project (2009–14). The result provides an estimation of the abundance of material according to an interval of certainty. © 2019 University of Oxford 
650 0 4 |a artifact 
650 0 4 |a coinage 
650 0 4 |a estimation 
650 0 4 |a estimation method 
650 0 4 |a material culture 
650 0 4 |a Poisson distribution 
650 0 4 |a Poisson ratio 
650 0 4 |a Roman era 
650 0 4 |a simulation 
650 0 4 |a statistics 
700 1 |a Collins-Elliott, S.A.  |e author 
773 |t Archaeometry