On the Link Between the Volatility and Skewness of Growth

In a sample of 110 countries over the period 1960–2009, we document a positive relation between the volatility and skewness of growth in the cross section. This novel stylized fact is related to two distinct mechanisms: sudden growth spurts in emerging markets and sharp financial crises-driven reces...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bekaert, G. (Author), Popov, A. (Author)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Palgrave Macmillan Ltd. 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:View Fulltext in Publisher
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020 |a 20414161 (ISSN) 
245 1 0 |a On the Link Between the Volatility and Skewness of Growth 
260 0 |b Palgrave Macmillan Ltd.  |c 2019 
856 |z View Fulltext in Publisher  |u https://doi.org/10.1057/s41308-019-00092-2 
520 3 |a In a sample of 110 countries over the period 1960–2009, we document a positive relation between the volatility and skewness of growth in the cross section. This novel stylized fact is related to two distinct mechanisms: sudden growth spurts in emerging markets and sharp financial crises-driven recessions in developed economies. The former phenomenon is driven by industrialization, macroeconomic stabilization, and the exploitation of natural resources. The latter is consistent with recent theories of financial frictions. The cross-sectional pattern contrasts with a negative relation between volatility and skewness in panel data with country fixed effects in the top quartile of countries in terms of beginning-of-period GDP per capita. © 2019, International Monetary Fund. 
650 0 4 |a Business cycles 
650 0 4 |a Development 
650 0 4 |a Financial frictions 
650 0 4 |a Growth spurts 
650 0 4 |a Skewness 
650 0 4 |a Volatility 
700 1 |a Bekaert, G.  |e author 
700 1 |a Popov, A.  |e author 
773 |t IMF Economic Review