How will persistent low expected returns shape household economic behavior?

Many believe that global capital markets will generate lower returns in the future versus the past. We examine how persistently lower real returns will reshape work, retirement, saving, and investment behavior of older persons using a calibrated dynamic life cycle model. In a low return regime, work...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Horneff, V. (Author), Maurer, R. (Author), Mitchell, O.S (Author)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:View Fulltext in Publisher
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020 |a 14747472 (ISSN) 
245 1 0 |a How will persistent low expected returns shape household economic behavior? 
260 0 |b Cambridge University Press  |c 2019 
856 |z View Fulltext in Publisher  |u https://doi.org/10.1017/S1474747218000355 
520 3 |a Many believe that global capital markets will generate lower returns in the future versus the past. We examine how persistently lower real returns will reshape work, retirement, saving, and investment behavior of older persons using a calibrated dynamic life cycle model. In a low return regime, workers build up less wealth in their tax-qualified 401(k) accounts versus the past, claim social security benefits later, and work more. Moreover, the better-educated are more sensitive to real interest rate changes, while the least-educated alter their behavior less. Interestingly, the distribution of wealth is more uniform in periods of persistent low expected returns. © Cambridge University Press 2018. 
650 0 4 |a 401(k) plan 
650 0 4 |a investment 
650 0 4 |a retirement 
650 0 4 |a saving 
650 0 4 |a social security claiming 
650 0 4 |a tax consequences 
700 1 |a Horneff, V.  |e author 
700 1 |a Maurer, R.  |e author 
700 1 |a Mitchell, O.S.  |e author 
773 |t Journal of Pension Economics and Finance