Hawking radiation and analogue experiments: A Bayesian analysis

We present a Bayesian analysis of the epistemology of analogue experiments with particular reference to Hawking radiation. First, we prove that such experiments can be confirmatory in Bayesian terms based upon appeal to ‘universality arguments’. Second, we provide a formal model for the scaling beha...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Dardashti, R. (Author), Hartmann, S. (Author), Thébault, K. (Author), Winsberg, E. (Author)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier Ltd 2019
Online Access:View Fulltext in Publisher
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001 10.1016-j.shpsb.2019.04.004
008 220511s2019 CNT 000 0 und d
020 |a 13552198 (ISSN) 
245 1 0 |a Hawking radiation and analogue experiments: A Bayesian analysis 
260 0 |b Elsevier Ltd  |c 2019 
856 |z View Fulltext in Publisher  |u https://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsb.2019.04.004 
520 3 |a We present a Bayesian analysis of the epistemology of analogue experiments with particular reference to Hawking radiation. First, we prove that such experiments can be confirmatory in Bayesian terms based upon appeal to ‘universality arguments’. Second, we provide a formal model for the scaling behaviour of the confirmation measure for multiple distinct realisations of the analogue system and isolate a generic saturation feature. Finally, we demonstrate that different potential analogue realisations could provide different levels of confirmation. Our results provide a basis both to formalise the epistemic value of analogue experiments that have been conducted and to advise scientists as to the respective epistemic value of future analogue experiments. © 2019 Elsevier Ltd 
700 1 |a Dardashti, R.  |e author 
700 1 |a Hartmann, S.  |e author 
700 1 |a Thébault, K.  |e author 
700 1 |a Winsberg, E.  |e author 
773 |t Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B - Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics