A decision procedure for the transition from uncertainty to risk in a single-period inventory problem.

Approved for public release; distribution unlimited === Minimum expected-cost solutions to the single-period inventory problem (the Newsboy problem) have been well known for many years, for risk cases where the distribution of demand is known. Also well known are minimax cost and Laplace solutio...

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Main Author: Sagdic, Kadir
Other Authors: Lindsay, G.F.
Language:en_US
Published: Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School 2012
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10945/18393
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spelling ndltd-nps.edu-oai-calhoun.nps.edu-10945-183932015-05-16T04:04:21Z A decision procedure for the transition from uncertainty to risk in a single-period inventory problem. Sagdic, Kadir Lindsay, G.F. Gaver, Donald P. Operations Research Approved for public release; distribution unlimited Minimum expected-cost solutions to the single-period inventory problem (the Newsboy problem) have been well known for many years, for risk cases where the distribution of demand is known. Also well known are minimax cost and Laplace solutions for the uncertainty case where only the range of demand is known. This study explores the use of orderstatistic- based quantile estimators as decision procedures while data gathers during the early decision periods. Simulation, using a variety of demand distributions and unit-cost values, provides recommendations on which period to leave the minimax procedure for a suggested data-based decision rule which will be asymtotic to the optimal risk procedure. 2012-11-16T19:21:24Z 2012-11-16T19:21:24Z 1978-09 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/10945/18393 en_US Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
collection NDLTD
language en_US
sources NDLTD
description Approved for public release; distribution unlimited === Minimum expected-cost solutions to the single-period inventory problem (the Newsboy problem) have been well known for many years, for risk cases where the distribution of demand is known. Also well known are minimax cost and Laplace solutions for the uncertainty case where only the range of demand is known. This study explores the use of orderstatistic- based quantile estimators as decision procedures while data gathers during the early decision periods. Simulation, using a variety of demand distributions and unit-cost values, provides recommendations on which period to leave the minimax procedure for a suggested data-based decision rule which will be asymtotic to the optimal risk procedure.
author2 Lindsay, G.F.
author_facet Lindsay, G.F.
Sagdic, Kadir
author Sagdic, Kadir
spellingShingle Sagdic, Kadir
A decision procedure for the transition from uncertainty to risk in a single-period inventory problem.
author_sort Sagdic, Kadir
title A decision procedure for the transition from uncertainty to risk in a single-period inventory problem.
title_short A decision procedure for the transition from uncertainty to risk in a single-period inventory problem.
title_full A decision procedure for the transition from uncertainty to risk in a single-period inventory problem.
title_fullStr A decision procedure for the transition from uncertainty to risk in a single-period inventory problem.
title_full_unstemmed A decision procedure for the transition from uncertainty to risk in a single-period inventory problem.
title_sort decision procedure for the transition from uncertainty to risk in a single-period inventory problem.
publisher Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
publishDate 2012
url http://hdl.handle.net/10945/18393
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AT sagdickadir decisionprocedureforthetransitionfromuncertaintytoriskinasingleperiodinventoryproblem
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