Sensitivity of Dryline Convection Forecasts to Upstream Forecast Errors for Two Weakly Forced MPEX Cases

Sensitivity of Dryline Convection Forecasts to Upstream Forecast Errors for Two Weakly Forced MPEX Cases

The sensitivity of convective forecasts along the Texas dryline to upstream forecast fields at earlier lead times is evaluated for two consecutive days (27-28 May) characterized by no clear synoptic forcing for convection initiation (CI) during the 2013 Mesoscale Predictability Experiment (MPEX) by...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Torn, Ryan D., Romine, Glen S., Galarneau, Thomas J.
Other Authors:	Univ Arizona, Dept Hydrol & Atmospher Sci
Language:	en
Published:	AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC 2017
Online Access:	http://hdl.handle.net/10150/625051 http://arizona.openrepository.com/arizona/handle/10150/625051

Similar Items

Multi-Scale Transects of Three North American Drylines
by: Loren D. White, et al.
Published: (2020-08-01)

Environmental Conditions and Dryline Influence on the Occurrence of Severe Local Convective Storms in Bangladesh during the Pre-Monsoon Season
by: Akter, Fatima
Published: (2015)

Field experiment observations of a dryline and the associated clouds and precipitation
by: Daniel, Brown
Published: (2010)

The Absolute Forecast Error and Forecast Error of The Forecast Released by The Conference Call
by: HUI - JU. WU, et al.
Published: (2004)

Understanding the Predictability within Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecasts in East China: Meteorological Sensitivity, Forecast Error Growth and Associated Precipitation Uncertainties Across Spatial Scales
by: Xiaoran Zhuang, et al.
Published: (2020-02-01)

The relationship between forecasting innovative product and upstream supplier
by: 洪芳婷

Diagnosing non-Gaussianity of forecast and analysis errors in a convective-scale model
by: R. Legrand, et al.
Published: (2016-01-01)

Perturbation of convection-permitting NWP forecasts for flash-flood ensemble forecasting
by: B. Vincendon, et al.
Published: (2011-05-01)

Sources of ensemble forecast variation and their effects on severe convective weather forecasts
by: Thead, Erin Amanda
Published: (2017)

Are Combined Tourism Forecasts Better at Minimizing Forecasting Errors?
by: Ulrich Gunter, et al.
Published: (2020-06-01)

Condensed water in the dryline water trap system of capnography as a potential source of infection: a case report.
by: Neeraj Kumar, et al.
Published: (2020-09-01)

An Assessment of Historical Traffic Forecast Accuracy and Sources of Forecast Error
by: Hoque, Jawad Mahmud
Published: (2019)

Forecasting the Shock in Economic Data Series using Error Forecast
by: Abdul Basit, et al.
Published: (2011-12-01)

Energy Trading System in Microgrids With Future Forecasting and Forecasting Errors
by: Gyohun Jeong, et al.
Published: (2018-01-01)

Cognitive determinants of affective forecasting errors
by: Michael Hoerger, et al.
Published: (2010-08-01)

Theoconomy: Fixing the forecasting error
by: Johann Walters, et al.
Published: (2019-04-01)

Model error in weather forecasting
by: D. Orrell, et al.
Published: (2001-01-01)

Forecasting errors in the averseness of apologizing
by: Leunissen, J. M., et al.
Published: (2014)

Internal Control Weakness and Analysts' Earnings Forecasts
by: YANG, CHUN-HSIANG, et al.
Published: (2018)

Correction of upstream flow and hydraulic state with data assimilation in the context of flood forecasting
by: S. Ricci, et al.
Published: (2011-11-01)

An analogy-based method for strong convection forecasts in China using GFS forecast data
by: Na LI, et al.
Published: (2020-03-01)

Comparison of accuracy of forecasting methods of convective precipitation
by: Šaur David, et al.
Published: (2018-01-01)

On the forecast skill of a convection-permitting ensemble
by: T. Schellander-Gorgas, et al.
Published: (2017-01-01)

Advances in the WRF model for convection-resolving forecasting
by: J. B. Klemp
Published: (2006-01-01)

Stochastic forecast of the population of Central Serbia based on empiric forecast errors
by: Nikitović Vladimir
Published: (2007-01-01)

Securities Analysts’ Forecast Errors and Behavioral Factors Affecting Earning Forecasts
by: Cheng-Yi Shie, et al.
Published: (2006)

Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error
Published: (2023)

The sensitivity of warm period precipitation forecasts to various modifications of the Kain-Fritsch Convective Parameterization scheme
by: N. Mazarakis, et al.
Published: (2011-05-01)

Ensemble forecasting system for the management of the Senegal River discharge: application upstream the Manantali dam
by: Didier Maria Ndione, et al.
Published: (2020-05-01)

Wind Power Forecast Accuracy in Scandinavia:Analysis of Forecast Errors Using TAPM
by: Jarmander, Sara
Published: (2017)

College Rankings and Analyst Forecast Error
by: E-Hsuan Wu, et al.
Published: (2017)

Managerial Overconfidence and Earning Forecast Errors
by: Sasan Merani, et al.
Published: (2018-02-01)

Estimation of analysis and forecast error variances
by: Malaquias Peña, et al.
Published: (2014-11-01)

Research on the Determinants of Financial Forecast Errors
by: FANG, YUEH-CHI, et al.
Published: (1998)

The determinants of target price forecasting errors
by: Yu-Shian Lin, et al.
Published: (2007)

On the Sensitivity of Local Flexibility Markets to Forecast Error: A Bi-Level Optimization Approach
by: Delaram Azari, et al.
Published: (2020-04-01)

Effect of observation error variance adjustment on numerical weather prediction using forecast sensitivity to error covariance parameters
by: Sung-Min Kim, et al.
Published: (2018-01-01)

XGB+FM for Severe Convection Forecast and Factor Selection
by: Zhiying Lu, et al.
Published: (2021-01-01)

Sensitivity of precipitation forecasts to convective parameterization in the October 2007 Flash Flood in the Valencia Region (Eastern Spain)
by: I. Gómez, et al.
Published: (2010-06-01)

Short-term photovoltaic power forecasting method based on irradiance correction and error forecasting
by: Yanhong Ma, et al.
Published: (2021-11-01)