Summary: | In this study an attempt is made to represent summer thunderstorm occurrences in the Tucson area using simple probabilistic principles and a digital computer. The purpose of the model is to forecast many of the characteristics of the summer thunderstorms (storm duration; time between storms; storm depth; and daily, monthly, and seasonal totals, etc.). The synthetic data exhibits many of the characteristics of the historical sequences. However, the correlation between storm depth and storm duration Is weaker for the synthetic data than for its historical counterpart. The model conserves the historical values of mean rainfall (seasonal, monthly, daily totals).
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