Testing for Non-Linear Dependence in Univariate Time Series: An Empirical Investigation of the Austrian Unemployment Rate

In recent years interest has been growing in testing for stochastic non-linearity in macroeconomic time series. There are several inference procedures available. But not much is known about their behaviour on real world small-sized settings. This paper surveys some of these tests. Their performan...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Koller, Wolfgang, Fischer, Manfred M.
Format: Others
Language:en
Published: WU Vienna University of Economics and Business 2001
Online Access:http://epub.wu.ac.at/4233/1/WGI_DP_8001.pdf
Description
Summary:In recent years interest has been growing in testing for stochastic non-linearity in macroeconomic time series. There are several inference procedures available. But not much is known about their behaviour on real world small-sized settings. This paper surveys some of these tests. Their performance is compared using monthly Austrian unemployment data that cover the period January 1960 to December 1997. It is found that the test procedures surveyed are complementary rather than competing. Several useful guidelines are provided for applying the increasingly complex test procedures in practice. === Series: Discussion Papers of the Institute for Economic Geography and GIScience